Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 3. September?
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
39%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
11%
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
39%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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