Trader consensus strongly supports 36°C as Manila’s highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. Regional model runs and observational data show persistent clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the pre-monsoon period, conditions that reliably produce afternoon peaks near this value. Historical May averages for the city fall between 34–36°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current readings. Minor variations remain possible if unexpected convective activity develops or if measurement timing shifts by a few degrees, but the narrow uncertainty range in guidance keeps alternative outcomes at negligible market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 17. Mai?
36°C 99.9%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,112 Vol.
$29,112 Vol.
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 99.9%
29°C oder darunter <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,112 Vol.
$29,112 Vol.
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLTrader consensus strongly supports 36°C as Manila’s highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. Regional model runs and observational data show persistent clear skies, light winds, and elevated humidity typical of the pre-monsoon period, conditions that reliably produce afternoon peaks near this value. Historical May averages for the city fall between 34–36°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current readings. Minor variations remain possible if unexpected convective activity develops or if measurement timing shifts by a few degrees, but the narrow uncertainty range in guidance keeps alternative outcomes at negligible market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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