Recent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. Mai?
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 19%
36°C 9.5%
29°C oder niedriger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
35%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 19%
36°C 9.5%
29°C oder niedriger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
35%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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