Trader consensus places the highest temperature in Munich today near 16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models showing daytime maxima around that level under a mix of broken cloud and light northwesterly flow. Subtle differences in the timing of a weak frontal passage and local radiative effects near the Alps create the tight spread between 15°C and 17°C outcomes. These projections incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating cooler-than-average air masses for mid-May, when climatological highs typically reach 18–20°C. Fresh model runs expected later today from the German Weather Service will clarify whether any last adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed shift the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 17. Mai?
16°C 43%
15°C 33%
17°C 22%
14°C 3.7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
33%
16°C
43%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 43%
15°C 33%
17°C 22%
14°C 3.7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
33%
16°C
43%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMTrader consensus places the highest temperature in Munich today near 16°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from European weather models showing daytime maxima around that level under a mix of broken cloud and light northwesterly flow. Subtle differences in the timing of a weak frontal passage and local radiative effects near the Alps create the tight spread between 15°C and 17°C outcomes. These projections incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating cooler-than-average air masses for mid-May, when climatological highs typically reach 18–20°C. Fresh model runs expected later today from the German Weather Service will clarify whether any last adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed shift the final recorded maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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