Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projects a high temperature near 88°F in Dallas on May 16, aligning trader sentiment with 88-89°F leading at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 90-91°F (27.5%) and 86-87°F (24%). This positioning stems from south-southeasterly winds around 10 mph transporting warm Gulf air beneath a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating, tempered by partly cloudy skies and potential cumulus development. Recent dry conditions limit soil moisture, boosting sensible heat flux, while above-normal May baselines (normal ~83°F) provide context. Model spread on boundary layer mixing explains the tight clustering; watch afternoon HRRR updates and observations for shifts before resolution at Dallas Love Field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 16. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 16. Mai?
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92°F oder höher 14%
73°F oder darunter
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
27%
92°F oder höher
14%
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92°F oder höher 14%
73°F oder darunter
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
27%
92°F oder höher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projects a high temperature near 88°F in Dallas on May 16, aligning trader sentiment with 88-89°F leading at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 90-91°F (27.5%) and 86-87°F (24%). This positioning stems from south-southeasterly winds around 10 mph transporting warm Gulf air beneath a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating, tempered by partly cloudy skies and potential cumulus development. Recent dry conditions limit soil moisture, boosting sensible heat flux, while above-normal May baselines (normal ~83°F) provide context. Model spread on boundary layer mixing explains the tight clustering; watch afternoon HRRR updates and observations for shifts before resolution at Dallas Love Field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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