Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a maximum of 27–29°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance, driving the market-implied 98.9% probability for 26°C or higher. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded peaks of 26–29°C, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C and daily maxima frequently exceed 26°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover, though isolated afternoon convection could briefly reduce solar heating and cap the high near the lower threshold. Resolution depends on official hourly readings at Benito Juárez International Airport, with final confirmation expected by late evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 17. Mai?
26°C or higher 98.8%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,797 Vol.
$20,797 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.8%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,797 Vol.
$20,797 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXCurrent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a maximum of 27–29°C in Mexico City on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance, driving the market-implied 98.9% probability for 26°C or higher. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded peaks of 26–29°C, consistent with May climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C and daily maxima frequently exceed 26°C. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover, though isolated afternoon convection could briefly reduce solar heating and cap the high near the lower threshold. Resolution depends on official hourly readings at Benito Juárez International Airport, with final confirmation expected by late evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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