Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 17. Mai?
33°C or higher 69%
32°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 2.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
69%
33°C or higher 69%
32°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 2.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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