Recent National Weather Service and Global Forecast System model runs point to a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses while partly cloudy skies moderate solar insolation and limit strong surface heating. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with traders weighing subtle differences in wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Official forecasts emphasize typical May variability around the seasonal baseline of 76°F, with resolution hinging on the highest observed reading at Central Park.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 18. Mai?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 11%
$21,013 Vol.
$21,013 Vol.
69°F oder niedriger
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
11%
88°F oder höher
5%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 11%
$21,013 Vol.
$21,013 Vol.
69°F oder niedriger
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
11%
88°F oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service and Global Forecast System model runs point to a daytime high in the low to mid-80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses while partly cloudy skies moderate solar insolation and limit strong surface heating. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with traders weighing subtle differences in wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Official forecasts emphasize typical May variability around the seasonal baseline of 76°F, with resolution hinging on the highest observed reading at Central Park.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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