Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. Mai?
34°C 76%
35°C or higher 15.3%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$61,443 Vol.
$61,443 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
76%
35°C or higher
15%
34°C 76%
35°C or higher 15.3%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$61,443 Vol.
$61,443 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,442 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,674 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,965 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,782 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,773 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,875 Vol.
76%
35°C or higher
$8,904 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$61,443Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$61,443Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen