Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 17. Mai?
34°C 56%
33°C 41.0%
35°C or higher 6%
25°C or below <1%
$51,357 Vol.
$51,357 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
50%
34°C
44%
35°C or higher
6%
34°C 56%
33°C 41.0%
35°C or higher 6%
25°C or below <1%
$51,357 Vol.
$51,357 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,426 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,762 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,643 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,715 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,254 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,140 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,772 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,373 Vol.
50%
34°C
$3,680 Vol.
44%
35°C or higher
$6,749 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$51,357Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,357Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen