**Forecast consensus from multiple global and regional models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on September 12, 2026, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability.** Short-range guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local services shows daytime maxima stabilizing in the 30–32°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating but limited moisture. Recent 10-day outlooks from WeatherBug, Yr, and others indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with climatological norms slightly above the long-term September average of ~29–30°C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the tight model agreement and absence of disruptive synoptic shifts—such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level cooling—that could push readings lower or allow brief spikes to 33°C or above. Next official Israel Meteorological Service updates and refined model cycles will provide the final calibration before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. September?
32°C 69%
33°C 14%
31°C 13%
30°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
69%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
32°C 69%
33°C 14%
31°C 13%
30°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
28°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$31 Vol.
13%
32°C
$143 Vol.
69%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$15 Vol.
1%
38°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple global and regional models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on September 12, 2026, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability.** Short-range guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local services shows daytime maxima stabilizing in the 30–32°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating but limited moisture. Recent 10-day outlooks from WeatherBug, Yr, and others indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with climatological norms slightly above the long-term September average of ~29–30°C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the tight model agreement and absence of disruptive synoptic shifts—such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level cooling—that could push readings lower or allow brief spikes to 33°C or above. Next official Israel Meteorological Service updates and refined model cycles will provide the final calibration before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$204Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple global and regional models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on September 12, 2026, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability.** Short-range guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local services shows daytime maxima stabilizing in the 30–32°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating but limited moisture. Recent 10-day outlooks from WeatherBug, Yr, and others indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with climatological norms slightly above the long-term September average of ~29–30°C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the tight model agreement and absence of disruptive synoptic shifts—such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level cooling—that could push readings lower or allow brief spikes to 33°C or above. Next official Israel Meteorological Service updates and refined model cycles will provide the final calibration before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$204Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple global and regional models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on September 12, 2026, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability.** Short-range guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local services shows daytime maxima stabilizing in the 30–32°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating but limited moisture. Recent 10-day outlooks from WeatherBug, Yr, and others indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with climatological norms slightly above the long-term September average of ~29–30°C. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the tight model agreement and absence of disruptive synoptic shifts—such as stronger sea breezes or upper-level cooling—that could push readings lower or allow brief spikes to 33°C or above. Next official Israel Meteorological Service updates and refined model cycles will provide the final calibration before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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