Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light to moderate northwest winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation. This aligns closely with September climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 29–30°C, positioning 32°C as the market leader due to model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating without synoptic changes. Updated runs on September 10 show minimal spread across ensembles, reducing odds of deviations to 33°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 31°C as plausible if onshore flow strengthens slightly. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 11. September?
32°C 72%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
72%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 72%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
72%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light to moderate northwest winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation. This aligns closely with September climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 29–30°C, positioning 32°C as the market leader due to model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating without synoptic changes. Updated runs on September 10 show minimal spread across ensembles, reducing odds of deviations to 33°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 31°C as plausible if onshore flow strengthens slightly. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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