Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime peak of 31–32 °C for Tel Aviv on 10 September 2026 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. With minimal cloud cover and dew points near 20 °C, radiative heating supports afternoon maxima in this narrow band, consistent with September climatology. The dominant 32 °C market outcome reflects trader assessment of these consensus runs, while the secondary 33 °C probability accounts for possible localized urban heat-island effects or slight model spread; lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected frontal shifts or measurement revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 10. September?
32°C 80%
33°C 20%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$16,700 Vol.
$16,700 Vol.
29°C oder weniger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
80%
33°C
20%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 80%
33°C 20%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$16,700 Vol.
$16,700 Vol.
29°C oder weniger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
80%
33°C
20%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime peak of 31–32 °C for Tel Aviv on 10 September 2026 under clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and stable subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. With minimal cloud cover and dew points near 20 °C, radiative heating supports afternoon maxima in this narrow band, consistent with September climatology. The dominant 32 °C market outcome reflects trader assessment of these consensus runs, while the secondary 33 °C probability accounts for possible localized urban heat-island effects or slight model spread; lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected frontal shifts or measurement revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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