Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend under southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning Toronto’s official high near the 24–26 °C range at Pearson International Airport and anchoring trader consensus around the tightly bunched 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C-or-higher outcomes. Subtle differences in these probabilities arise from uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could shave or add a degree, and the precise timing of maximum solar radiation on this date. Historical May averages near 18–20 °C provide climatological context, yet current atmospheric conditions favor a several-degree positive anomaly. Final resolution will depend on the day’s verified maximum reading, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected convective development capable of shifting the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 17. Mai?
25°C 34%
26°C 26.9%
27°C oder höher 25.2%
24°C 14%
$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
34%
26°C
27%
27°C oder höher
25%
25°C 34%
26°C 26.9%
27°C oder höher 25.2%
24°C 14%
$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
34%
26°C
27%
27°C oder höher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend under southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning Toronto’s official high near the 24–26 °C range at Pearson International Airport and anchoring trader consensus around the tightly bunched 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C-or-higher outcomes. Subtle differences in these probabilities arise from uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could shave or add a degree, and the precise timing of maximum solar radiation on this date. Historical May averages near 18–20 °C provide climatological context, yet current atmospheric conditions favor a several-degree positive anomaly. Final resolution will depend on the day’s verified maximum reading, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected convective development capable of shifting the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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