Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Midwest beneath a building ridge, positioning Toronto for a daytime high near 29–30 °C on May 18. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies supports this range, yet afternoon convection and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation introduce 1–2 °C of downward variability if clouds develop earlier than modeled. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29 °C and 32 °C or higher, traders weigh these competing factors—ridge-driven warmth versus boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers—while awaiting the next model runs for clearer resolution of peak temperature.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 18. Mai?
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C oder höher 21%
NEU
$14,437 Vol.
NEU
$14,437 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C oder höher
21%
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C oder höher 21%
NEU
$14,437 Vol.
NEU
$14,437 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
$4,226 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,116 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,377 Vol.
2%
27°C
$626 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,353 Vol.
8%
29°C
$1,111 Vol.
22%
30°C
$496 Vol.
26%
31°C
$675 Vol.
22%
32°C oder höher
$1,243 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Midwest beneath a building ridge, positioning Toronto for a daytime high near 29–30 °C on May 18. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies supports this range, yet afternoon convection and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation introduce 1–2 °C of downward variability if clouds develop earlier than modeled. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29 °C and 32 °C or higher, traders weigh these competing factors—ridge-driven warmth versus boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers—while awaiting the next model runs for clearer resolution of peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$14,437Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Midwest beneath a building ridge, positioning Toronto for a daytime high near 29–30 °C on May 18. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies supports this range, yet afternoon convection and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation introduce 1–2 °C of downward variability if clouds develop earlier than modeled. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29 °C and 32 °C or higher, traders weigh these competing factors—ridge-driven warmth versus boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers—while awaiting the next model runs for clearer resolution of peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,437Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZLatest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada highlight a strengthening southwesterly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Midwest beneath a building ridge, positioning Toronto for a daytime high near 29–30 °C on May 18. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies supports this range, yet afternoon convection and Lake Ontario’s lake-breeze circulation introduce 1–2 °C of downward variability if clouds develop earlier than modeled. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 29 °C and 32 °C or higher, traders weigh these competing factors—ridge-driven warmth versus boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers—while awaiting the next model runs for clearer resolution of peak temperature.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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