**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 31. August?
32°C or higher 92%
30°C 10%
31°C 5%
29°C 2%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
92%
32°C or higher 92%
30°C 10%
31°C 5%
29°C 2%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$870 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$108 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$923 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,118Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,118Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31, according to multiple forecast models.** Recent observations show daily highs of 29–31°C through late August, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk allowing strong daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF favors continued sunny conditions, pushing the market-implied probability for 32°C or higher to 59.5%. A cooler shift would require unexpected cloud buildup or stronger winds, which current guidance does not indicate. The 31°C outcome holds secondary support at 25% amid slight model spread on peak intensity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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