Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 17°C in Beijing on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, following recent multi-cloud days with overnight lows of 18–20°C. Radiative cooling during the calm, clear night supports this range, consistent with climatological September baselines of 15–18°C, while model runs show limited disagreement on wind shifts or residual moisture that could alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader-implied odds near 47% for 23°C or higher versus 46% for 13°C or below reflect uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 21. September?
13°C oder niedriger 96%
23°C oder höher 95%
15°C 40%
18°C 37%
13°C oder niedriger
96%
14°C
18%
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
37%
22°C
13%
23°C oder höher
95%
13°C oder niedriger 96%
23°C oder höher 95%
15°C 40%
18°C 37%
13°C oder niedriger
96%
14°C
18%
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
37%
22°C
13%
23°C oder höher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration project a minimum near 17°C in Beijing on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, following recent multi-cloud days with overnight lows of 18–20°C. Radiative cooling during the calm, clear night supports this range, consistent with climatological September baselines of 15–18°C, while model runs show limited disagreement on wind shifts or residual moisture that could alter the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader-implied odds near 47% for 23°C or higher versus 46% for 13°C or below reflect uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates ahead of the overnight observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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