Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 4 centered near 18–21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual humidity and urban heat retention, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could limit the drop. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the approaching trough, keeping the tight cluster of market-implied probabilities across the 15–21°C range. A stronger northerly surge or clearer skies would favor the lower end, whereas persistent southerly advection supports the upper side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 4. September?
19°C 88%
21°C 88%
15°C 87%
16°C 87%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
1%
14°C
18%
15°C
87%
16°C
87%
17°C
87%
18°C
55%
19°C
88%
20°C
86%
21°C
88%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 88%
21°C 88%
15°C 87%
16°C 87%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
87%
16°C
$0 Vol.
87%
17°C
$0 Vol.
87%
18°C
$0 Vol.
55%
19°C
$0 Vol.
88%
20°C
$0 Vol.
86%
21°C
$0 Vol.
88%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 4 centered near 18–21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual humidity and urban heat retention, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could limit the drop. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the approaching trough, keeping the tight cluster of market-implied probabilities across the 15–21°C range. A stronger northerly surge or clearer skies would favor the lower end, whereas persistent southerly advection supports the upper side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 4 centered near 18–21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual humidity and urban heat retention, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could limit the drop. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the approaching trough, keeping the tight cluster of market-implied probabilities across the 15–21°C range. A stronger northerly surge or clearer skies would favor the lower end, whereas persistent southerly advection supports the upper side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 4 centered near 18–21°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual humidity and urban heat retention, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could limit the drop. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the approaching trough, keeping the tight cluster of market-implied probabilities across the 15–21°C range. A stronger northerly surge or clearer skies would favor the lower end, whereas persistent southerly advection supports the upper side. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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