Recent forecast runs from global and regional models, including GFS guidance, point to a minimum near 18 °C in Busan on September 10 under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus align with this range, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. The market-implied 97.5 % probability on 18 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these data and limited upside or downside risk. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction could allow slightly more cooling and push the official minimum to 17 °C, though current conditions make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 10. September?
18°C 98%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
15°C 2%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
20%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 98%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
15°C 2%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
20%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from global and regional models, including GFS guidance, point to a minimum near 18 °C in Busan on September 10 under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus align with this range, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. The market-implied 97.5 % probability on 18 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these data and limited upside or downside risk. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction could allow slightly more cooling and push the official minimum to 17 °C, though current conditions make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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