Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C for Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in the precise low, with heavier evening rains potentially allowing brief drops below seasonal norms while daytime heating remains strong. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49%) to 21°C or below, reflecting assessment of model spread and historical variability in monsoon-influenced nights, alongside elevated odds around 25–26°C that align closely with the consensus forecast range. Upcoming NHC-style updates or local observatory reports could shift these probabilities if convective patterns intensify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 21. August?
21°C oder darunter 96%
26°C 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
21°C oder darunter
96%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
21°C oder darunter 96%
26°C 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
21°C oder darunter
96%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C for Chongqing on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, light winds, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce notable uncertainty in the precise low, with heavier evening rains potentially allowing brief drops below seasonal norms while daytime heating remains strong. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49%) to 21°C or below, reflecting assessment of model spread and historical variability in monsoon-influenced nights, alongside elevated odds around 25–26°C that align closely with the consensus forecast range. Upcoming NHC-style updates or local observatory reports could shift these probabilities if convective patterns intensify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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