Recent forecast model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicates Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely range from 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting mild Atlantic air advection and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic region. Historical September 21 climatology shows an average low near 8.4°C, yet current guidance diverges warmer due to persistent low-level moisture and weak pressure gradients. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum from Helsinki-Vantaa observations, with model updates expected overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the 9–11°C bins that collectively hold over 75% of remaining market weight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Helsinki am 21. September?
14°C oder höher 95%
8°C 40%
7°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
4°C oder weniger
2%
5°C
5%
6°C
9%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
33%
10°C
24%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
5%
14°C oder höher
95%
14°C oder höher 95%
8°C 40%
7°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
4°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
5°C
$0 Vol.
5%
6°C
$0 Vol.
9%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$6 Vol.
33%
10°C
$6 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicates Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely range from 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting mild Atlantic air advection and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic region. Historical September 21 climatology shows an average low near 8.4°C, yet current guidance diverges warmer due to persistent low-level moisture and weak pressure gradients. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum from Helsinki-Vantaa observations, with model updates expected overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the 9–11°C bins that collectively hold over 75% of remaining market weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$13Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicates Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely range from 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting mild Atlantic air advection and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic region. Historical September 21 climatology shows an average low near 8.4°C, yet current guidance diverges warmer due to persistent low-level moisture and weak pressure gradients. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum from Helsinki-Vantaa observations, with model updates expected overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the 9–11°C bins that collectively hold over 75% of remaining market weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicates Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely range from 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 14°C-or-higher outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting mild Atlantic air advection and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic region. Historical September 21 climatology shows an average low near 8.4°C, yet current guidance diverges warmer due to persistent low-level moisture and weak pressure gradients. Key resolution hinges on the official minimum from Helsinki-Vantaa observations, with model updates expected overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the 9–11°C bins that collectively hold over 75% of remaining market weight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen