The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 9. September?
27°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$95 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$1,102 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$647 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$332 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,158 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,106 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$8,521 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$2,027 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$260 Vol.
Nein
31°C oder höher
$241 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$19,767Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,767Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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