Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Jinan on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with no significant cold-air advection or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies typically produces lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced near 47% for both extremes because traders weigh minor uncertainties in official station readings, urban heat-island effects, and potential model adjustments from the final evening update, while the cluster of probabilities around 18–20°C reflects the narrow scientific range supported by current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 4. September?
12°C oder darunter 94%
22°C oder höher 94%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C oder darunter
94%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C oder höher
94%
12°C oder darunter 94%
22°C oder höher 94%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C oder darunter
94%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C oder höher
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Jinan on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with no significant cold-air advection or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies typically produces lows in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius. Market-implied odds remain closely balanced near 47% for both extremes because traders weigh minor uncertainties in official station readings, urban heat-island effects, and potential model adjustments from the final evening update, while the cluster of probabilities around 18–20°C reflects the narrow scientific range supported by current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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