**Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project clear to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 30°C on September 4, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating under September climatology typical for the region. Multiple sources, including local observations and global ensembles, converge on 29–31°C maxima with low precipitation risk, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C, but current consensus leaves little room for outcomes below 25°C. Resolution will depend on official station measurements at the end of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 4. September?
26°C oder höher 77%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C oder niedriger
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
77%
26°C oder höher 77%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C oder niedriger
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project clear to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 30°C on September 4, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** Persistent high pressure, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating under September climatology typical for the region. Multiple sources, including local observations and global ensembles, converge on 29–31°C maxima with low precipitation risk, driving the 70.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C, but current consensus leaves little room for outcomes below 25°C. Resolution will depend on official station measurements at the end of the calendar day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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