**Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models strongly supports trader positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on September 3.** Multiple runs project peak temperatures of 29–32°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and negligible cloud cover that allows strong solar insolation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Jinan’s mean daily maximum sits near 27°C amid transitional subtropical high-pressure influence. The market-implied 98.7% probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing no incoming cold advection or precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or persistent low stratus, both of which current synoptic patterns and ensemble spreads indicate are highly improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 3. September?
26°C oder höher 98.6%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C oder niedriger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C oder höher
99%
26°C oder höher 98.6%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C oder niedriger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C oder höher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official Chinese meteorological sources and international models strongly supports trader positioning on a daily high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on September 3.** Multiple runs project peak temperatures of 29–32°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, and negligible cloud cover that allows strong solar insolation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Jinan’s mean daily maximum sits near 27°C amid transitional subtropical high-pressure influence. The market-implied 98.7% probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time observations showing no incoming cold advection or precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or persistent low stratus, both of which current synoptic patterns and ensemble spreads indicate are highly improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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