**Short-term forecast variability amid the Southwest Monsoon and strengthening El Niño conditions is driving the evenly matched trader probabilities around 25–27°C minima on September 1.** Kuala Lumpur’s tropical equatorial setting features typical September overnight lows near 23–24°C, with high humidity and frequent convective activity. Current model consensus points to minima of 24–26°C, as afternoon thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover reduce radiative cooling overnight while southwesterly winds and elevated sea-surface temperatures limit sharp drops. Recent El Niño development favors drier overall patterns that can suppress extreme cooling, yet localized squalls introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. This genuine spread in meteorological guidance—coupled with the market’s skin-in-the-game aggregation of trader assessments—explains why no single outcome dominates and why extremes (30°C+ or ≤20°C) retain notable implied probability despite climatological rarity. Updated NHC/NOAA-style model runs closer to resolution will likely narrow sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kuala Lumpur am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kuala Lumpur am 1. September?
20°C or below 53%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
22°C 47%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
21%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
20°C or below 53%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
22°C 47%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast variability amid the Southwest Monsoon and strengthening El Niño conditions is driving the evenly matched trader probabilities around 25–27°C minima on September 1.**
Kuala Lumpur’s tropical equatorial setting features typical September overnight lows near 23–24°C, with high humidity and frequent convective activity. Current model consensus points to minima of 24–26°C, as afternoon thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover reduce radiative cooling overnight while southwesterly winds and elevated sea-surface temperatures limit sharp drops. Recent El Niño development favors drier overall patterns that can suppress extreme cooling, yet localized squalls introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. This genuine spread in meteorological guidance—coupled with the market’s skin-in-the-game aggregation of trader assessments—explains why no single outcome dominates and why extremes (30°C+ or ≤20°C) retain notable implied probability despite climatological rarity. Updated NHC/NOAA-style model runs closer to resolution will likely narrow sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast variability amid the Southwest Monsoon and strengthening El Niño conditions is driving the evenly matched trader probabilities around 25–27°C minima on September 1.**
Kuala Lumpur’s tropical equatorial setting features typical September overnight lows near 23–24°C, with high humidity and frequent convective activity. Current model consensus points to minima of 24–26°C, as afternoon thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover reduce radiative cooling overnight while southwesterly winds and elevated sea-surface temperatures limit sharp drops. Recent El Niño development favors drier overall patterns that can suppress extreme cooling, yet localized squalls introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. This genuine spread in meteorological guidance—coupled with the market’s skin-in-the-game aggregation of trader assessments—explains why no single outcome dominates and why extremes (30°C+ or ≤20°C) retain notable implied probability despite climatological rarity. Updated NHC/NOAA-style model runs closer to resolution will likely narrow sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast variability amid the Southwest Monsoon and strengthening El Niño conditions is driving the evenly matched trader probabilities around 25–27°C minima on September 1.** Kuala Lumpur’s tropical equatorial setting features typical September overnight lows near 23–24°C, with high humidity and frequent convective activity. Current model consensus points to minima of 24–26°C, as afternoon thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover reduce radiative cooling overnight while southwesterly winds and elevated sea-surface temperatures limit sharp drops. Recent El Niño development favors drier overall patterns that can suppress extreme cooling, yet localized squalls introduce uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. This genuine spread in meteorological guidance—coupled with the market’s skin-in-the-game aggregation of trader assessments—explains why no single outcome dominates and why extremes (30°C+ or ≤20°C) retain notable implied probability despite climatological rarity. Updated NHC/NOAA-style model runs closer to resolution will likely narrow sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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