Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 13. August?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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