Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows for London on September 8 near 11–15 °C, with the tight 41 % market split between 14 °C and 15 °C reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds. Persistent low-level moisture and limited clear-sky periods are expected to moderate temperature drops, while any clearing could allow brief dips toward 13 °C. Historical September minima average around 11–12 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder conditions. Updated high-resolution runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, plus real-time observations on the night of the 7th–8th, will clarify whether the minimum settles at or above 14 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 8. September?
14°C 41%
15°C 41%
13°C 11%
16°C 9%
11°C oder weniger
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
41%
15°C
41%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 41%
13°C 11%
16°C 9%
11°C oder weniger
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
41%
15°C
41%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows for London on September 8 near 11–15 °C, with the tight 41 % market split between 14 °C and 15 °C reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds. Persistent low-level moisture and limited clear-sky periods are expected to moderate temperature drops, while any clearing could allow brief dips toward 13 °C. Historical September minima average around 11–12 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder conditions. Updated high-resolution runs from the Met Office and ECMWF, plus real-time observations on the night of the 7th–8th, will clarify whether the minimum settles at or above 14 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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