Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms forecast for Metro Manila on September 13, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the 24–26°C range and supporting closely matched market odds around 24–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 24°C minimum under 60% rain probability, while global models align on similar values amid high humidity and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 25°C, with urban heat effects and precipitation often preventing sharper drops below 23°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions from updated PAGASA or ECMWF runs ahead of the daily low, which typically occurs pre-dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 13. September?
19°C oder darunter 89%
26°C 51%
24°C 47%
27°C 47%
19°C oder darunter
89%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
47%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
19°C oder darunter 89%
26°C 51%
24°C 47%
27°C 47%
19°C oder darunter
89%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
47%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms forecast for Metro Manila on September 13, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the 24–26°C range and supporting closely matched market odds around 24–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 24°C minimum under 60% rain probability, while global models align on similar values amid high humidity and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 25°C, with urban heat effects and precipitation often preventing sharper drops below 23°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions from updated PAGASA or ECMWF runs ahead of the daily low, which typically occurs pre-dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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