Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate the Southwest Monsoon will deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds over Manila on September 2, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28 °C. A nearby tropical depression is enhancing moisture influx, which typically compresses the diurnal range by limiting clear-sky heat loss. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could push the recorded low across the closely matched 24 °C and 27 °C thresholds that dominate trader pricing. Updated NHC and local agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these boundary-layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 2. September?
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
31°C oder höher 100%
26°C 96%
21°C oder darunter
11%
22°C
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
100%
25°C
93%
26°C
96%
27°C
100%
28°C
45%
29°C
96%
30°C
14%
31°C oder höher
100%
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
31°C oder höher 100%
26°C 96%
21°C oder darunter
11%
22°C
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
100%
25°C
93%
26°C
96%
27°C
100%
28°C
45%
29°C
96%
30°C
14%
31°C oder höher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate the Southwest Monsoon will deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds over Manila on September 2, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28 °C. A nearby tropical depression is enhancing moisture influx, which typically compresses the diurnal range by limiting clear-sky heat loss. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in rain timing or wind speed could push the recorded low across the closely matched 24 °C and 27 °C thresholds that dominate trader pricing. Updated NHC and local agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these boundary-layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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