**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, Globalmeteo, Meteoprog, and others converge on a minimum temperature for Munich on September 3 in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Overnight conditions under high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa) with light southwesterly to westerly winds (1–3 m/s) and partly cloudy to clear skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. Dew points near 11–13°C support efficient heat loss without significant moisture or cloud insulation, while Munich’s elevation (~514 m) adds a modest cooling effect compared to lower-lying areas. The historical 1991–2020 average low for the date is 12.0°C, but the current stable anticyclonic setup has produced slightly milder nights. Minor model differences—such as variations in exact cloud cover timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the spread between 13°C and 15°C, with 14°C emerging as a frequent central tendency in recent runs. No major fronts or precipitation are expected to disrupt this pattern before the minimum occurs, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 3. September?
14°C 37%
15°C 31%
13°C 30%
12°C 23%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
11°C or below
27%
12°C
23%
13°C
30%
14°C
37%
15°C
31%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
6%
14°C 37%
15°C 31%
13°C 30%
12°C 23%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
11°C or below
$32 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$4 Vol.
31%
16°C
$30 Vol.
9%
17°C
$120 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
13%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, Globalmeteo, Meteoprog, and others converge on a minimum temperature for Munich on September 3 in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.**
Overnight conditions under high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa) with light southwesterly to westerly winds (1–3 m/s) and partly cloudy to clear skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. Dew points near 11–13°C support efficient heat loss without significant moisture or cloud insulation, while Munich’s elevation (~514 m) adds a modest cooling effect compared to lower-lying areas.
The historical 1991–2020 average low for the date is 12.0°C, but the current stable anticyclonic setup has produced slightly milder nights. Minor model differences—such as variations in exact cloud cover timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the spread between 13°C and 15°C, with 14°C emerging as a frequent central tendency in recent runs. No major fronts or precipitation are expected to disrupt this pattern before the minimum occurs, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$206Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, Globalmeteo, Meteoprog, and others converge on a minimum temperature for Munich on September 3 in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.**
Overnight conditions under high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa) with light southwesterly to westerly winds (1–3 m/s) and partly cloudy to clear skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. Dew points near 11–13°C support efficient heat loss without significant moisture or cloud insulation, while Munich’s elevation (~514 m) adds a modest cooling effect compared to lower-lying areas.
The historical 1991–2020 average low for the date is 12.0°C, but the current stable anticyclonic setup has produced slightly milder nights. Minor model differences—such as variations in exact cloud cover timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the spread between 13°C and 15°C, with 14°C emerging as a frequent central tendency in recent runs. No major fronts or precipitation are expected to disrupt this pattern before the minimum occurs, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$206Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, Globalmeteo, Meteoprog, and others converge on a minimum temperature for Munich on September 3 in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Overnight conditions under high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa) with light southwesterly to westerly winds (1–3 m/s) and partly cloudy to clear skies promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. Dew points near 11–13°C support efficient heat loss without significant moisture or cloud insulation, while Munich’s elevation (~514 m) adds a modest cooling effect compared to lower-lying areas. The historical 1991–2020 average low for the date is 12.0°C, but the current stable anticyclonic setup has produced slightly milder nights. Minor model differences—such as variations in exact cloud cover timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the spread between 13°C and 15°C, with 14°C emerging as a frequent central tendency in recent runs. No major fronts or precipitation are expected to disrupt this pattern before the minimum occurs, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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