Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate predominantly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Qingdao for September 4, with northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale supporting moderate nocturnal cooling along the coast. Ensemble runs show overnight lows clustered near 19–22°C, reflecting typical early-September maritime influence and radiative cooling under fair weather, though slight model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty between the 24°C-or-higher and sub-20°C outcomes. Historical September minima average 18–20°C, providing context for trader weighting of current guidance. Updated model runs and official bulletins through September 3 will likely refine the lowest-temperature distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 4. September?
24°C oder höher 74%
14°C oder weniger 72%
16°C 50%
20°C 48%
14°C oder weniger
72%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
38%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C oder höher
74%
24°C oder höher 74%
14°C oder weniger 72%
16°C 50%
20°C 48%
14°C oder weniger
72%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
38%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C oder höher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate predominantly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Qingdao for September 4, with northeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale supporting moderate nocturnal cooling along the coast. Ensemble runs show overnight lows clustered near 19–22°C, reflecting typical early-September maritime influence and radiative cooling under fair weather, though slight model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty between the 24°C-or-higher and sub-20°C outcomes. Historical September minima average 18–20°C, providing context for trader weighting of current guidance. Updated model runs and official bulletins through September 3 will likely refine the lowest-temperature distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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