**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, remains fragmented because official forecasts and numerical weather models show a plausible range of overnight minima centered around 9–14 °C, with limited consensus on the exact floor.** Strong southeasterly winds (frequently 20–35 km/h with higher gusts) are expected to persist through the night after a cold front and cut-off low passage on September 3. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the subsequent clear skies favor greater heat loss from the surface. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any residual low-level cloud; stronger or more persistent flow keeps readings closer to 12–14 °C, whereas lighter winds and drier air allow deeper cooling toward single digits. Current guidance from sources such as the Met Office (9 °C), BBC (10 °C), and various global models (11–14 °C) therefore brackets the market’s clustered probabilities. Historical September nocturnal minima in Cape Town typically fall between 9–12 °C under similar post-frontal conditions, reinforcing the uncertainty traders are pricing. The next model runs and any updated South African Weather Service briefing will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 4. September?
16°C oder höher 74%
6°C oder weniger 72%
8°C 50%
9°C 49%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
6°C oder weniger
72%
7°C
12%
8°C
50%
9°C
49%
10°C
28%
11°C
47%
12°C
30%
13°C
31%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C oder höher
74%
16°C oder höher 74%
6°C oder weniger 72%
8°C 50%
9°C 49%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
6°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
72%
7°C
$0 Vol.
12%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
49%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, remains fragmented because official forecasts and numerical weather models show a plausible range of overnight minima centered around 9–14 °C, with limited consensus on the exact floor.**
Strong southeasterly winds (frequently 20–35 km/h with higher gusts) are expected to persist through the night after a cold front and cut-off low passage on September 3. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the subsequent clear skies favor greater heat loss from the surface. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any residual low-level cloud; stronger or more persistent flow keeps readings closer to 12–14 °C, whereas lighter winds and drier air allow deeper cooling toward single digits.
Current guidance from sources such as the Met Office (9 °C), BBC (10 °C), and various global models (11–14 °C) therefore brackets the market’s clustered probabilities. Historical September nocturnal minima in Cape Town typically fall between 9–12 °C under similar post-frontal conditions, reinforcing the uncertainty traders are pricing. The next model runs and any updated South African Weather Service briefing will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, remains fragmented because official forecasts and numerical weather models show a plausible range of overnight minima centered around 9–14 °C, with limited consensus on the exact floor.**
Strong southeasterly winds (frequently 20–35 km/h with higher gusts) are expected to persist through the night after a cold front and cut-off low passage on September 3. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the subsequent clear skies favor greater heat loss from the surface. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any residual low-level cloud; stronger or more persistent flow keeps readings closer to 12–14 °C, whereas lighter winds and drier air allow deeper cooling toward single digits.
Current guidance from sources such as the Met Office (9 °C), BBC (10 °C), and various global models (11–14 °C) therefore brackets the market’s clustered probabilities. Historical September nocturnal minima in Cape Town typically fall between 9–12 °C under similar post-frontal conditions, reinforcing the uncertainty traders are pricing. The next model runs and any updated South African Weather Service briefing will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, remains fragmented because official forecasts and numerical weather models show a plausible range of overnight minima centered around 9–14 °C, with limited consensus on the exact floor.** Strong southeasterly winds (frequently 20–35 km/h with higher gusts) are expected to persist through the night after a cold front and cut-off low passage on September 3. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the subsequent clear skies favor greater heat loss from the surface. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and any residual low-level cloud; stronger or more persistent flow keeps readings closer to 12–14 °C, whereas lighter winds and drier air allow deeper cooling toward single digits. Current guidance from sources such as the Met Office (9 °C), BBC (10 °C), and various global models (11–14 °C) therefore brackets the market’s clustered probabilities. Historical September nocturnal minima in Cape Town typically fall between 9–12 °C under similar post-frontal conditions, reinforcing the uncertainty traders are pricing. The next model runs and any updated South African Weather Service briefing will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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