**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Munich on September 6, 2026, promoting strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and supporting overnight lows near the historical average of 11.4°C.** With daytime highs projected around 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, the minimum temperature hinges on precise nighttime dew points (around 9–10°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in these parameters create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could limit cooling by 1–2°C while drier conditions could push it lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine this narrow uncertainty range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 6. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 6. September?
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
8°C 25%
11°C 25%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
15%
6°C
21%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
17%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C oder höher
11%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
8°C 25%
11°C 25%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
15%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$172 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$10 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Munich on September 6, 2026, promoting strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and supporting overnight lows near the historical average of 11.4°C.**
With daytime highs projected around 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, the minimum temperature hinges on precise nighttime dew points (around 9–10°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in these parameters create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could limit cooling by 1–2°C while drier conditions could push it lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine this narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$182Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Munich on September 6, 2026, promoting strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and supporting overnight lows near the historical average of 11.4°C.**
With daytime highs projected around 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, the minimum temperature hinges on precise nighttime dew points (around 9–10°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in these parameters create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could limit cooling by 1–2°C while drier conditions could push it lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine this narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$182Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Munich on September 6, 2026, promoting strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and supporting overnight lows near the historical average of 11.4°C.** With daytime highs projected around 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, the minimum temperature hinges on precise nighttime dew points (around 9–10°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in these parameters create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–11°C, as even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could limit cooling by 1–2°C while drier conditions could push it lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine this narrow uncertainty range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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