Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and local observations show Shanghai experiencing clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but moderated by urban heat effects and residual warmth from recent days. This has positioned the minimum temperature near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C as traders aggregate real-time model consensus and historical September baselines around 20–22°C. No significant cold air advection or frontal systems have emerged to push values lower, while daytime highs near 29–30°C limit further nocturnal drops. Updated agency briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. September?
24°C 56%
25°C 33%
23°C 7%
21°C 3.6%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
56%
25°C
35%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 33%
23°C 7%
21°C 3.6%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$41 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$178 Vol.
4%
22°C
$495 Vol.
3%
23°C
$674 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,332 Vol.
56%
25°C
$1,507 Vol.
35%
26°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and local observations show Shanghai experiencing clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but moderated by urban heat effects and residual warmth from recent days. This has positioned the minimum temperature near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C as traders aggregate real-time model consensus and historical September baselines around 20–22°C. No significant cold air advection or frontal systems have emerged to push values lower, while daytime highs near 29–30°C limit further nocturnal drops. Updated agency briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$4,470Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and local observations show Shanghai experiencing clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but moderated by urban heat effects and residual warmth from recent days. This has positioned the minimum temperature near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C as traders aggregate real-time model consensus and historical September baselines around 20–22°C. No significant cold air advection or frontal systems have emerged to push values lower, while daytime highs near 29–30°C limit further nocturnal drops. Updated agency briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,470Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and local observations show Shanghai experiencing clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight but moderated by urban heat effects and residual warmth from recent days. This has positioned the minimum temperature near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 25°C as traders aggregate real-time model consensus and historical September baselines around 20–22°C. No significant cold air advection or frontal systems have emerged to push values lower, while daytime highs near 29–30°C limit further nocturnal drops. Updated agency briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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