Forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese meteorological services indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 16, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling after recent thunderstorm activity. This aligns with climatological September minima around 24°C and recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s amid high humidity. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome likely reflects model uncertainty around localized cooling from lingering moisture or variable wind patterns, while probabilities clustering near 24–26°C capture the baseline forecast consensus. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected to alter this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 16. September?
21°C oder weniger 89%
26°C 45%
31°C oder höher 41%
27°C 30%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
89%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C oder höher
41%
21°C oder weniger 89%
26°C 45%
31°C oder höher 41%
27°C 30%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
89%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$13 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese meteorological services indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 16, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling after recent thunderstorm activity. This aligns with climatological September minima around 24°C and recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s amid high humidity. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome likely reflects model uncertainty around localized cooling from lingering moisture or variable wind patterns, while probabilities clustering near 24–26°C capture the baseline forecast consensus. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected to alter this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese meteorological services indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 16, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling after recent thunderstorm activity. This aligns with climatological September minima around 24°C and recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s amid high humidity. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome likely reflects model uncertainty around localized cooling from lingering moisture or variable wind patterns, while probabilities clustering near 24–26°C capture the baseline forecast consensus. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected to alter this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese meteorological services indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 16, driven by subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling after recent thunderstorm activity. This aligns with climatological September minima around 24°C and recent observations showing overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s amid high humidity. Trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome likely reflects model uncertainty around localized cooling from lingering moisture or variable wind patterns, while probabilities clustering near 24–26°C capture the baseline forecast consensus. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected to alter this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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