**Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others project a minimum temperature of approximately 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects typical early-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds, low humidity overnight, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with historical averages of 24–26°C lows. Nearby values (27°C at 25%, 22–25°C clustered around 24–25%) capture model uncertainty ranges, while the 31°C+ bin at 27.5% likely prices in upside variance or measurement timing. No significant synoptic shifts, such as coastal cooling or heat advection, appear in recent updates, supporting trader consensus around the seasonal baseline with limited volatility expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. September?
31°C or higher 55%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
21°C or below
15%
22°C
49%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
55%
31°C or higher 55%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others project a minimum temperature of approximately 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects typical early-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds, low humidity overnight, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with historical averages of 24–26°C lows. Nearby values (27°C at 25%, 22–25°C clustered around 24–25%) capture model uncertainty ranges, while the 31°C+ bin at 27.5% likely prices in upside variance or measurement timing. No significant synoptic shifts, such as coastal cooling or heat advection, appear in recent updates, supporting trader consensus around the seasonal baseline with limited volatility expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others project a minimum temperature of approximately 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects typical early-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds, low humidity overnight, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with historical averages of 24–26°C lows. Nearby values (27°C at 25%, 22–25°C clustered around 24–25%) capture model uncertainty ranges, while the 31°C+ bin at 27.5% likely prices in upside variance or measurement timing. No significant synoptic shifts, such as coastal cooling or heat advection, appear in recent updates, supporting trader consensus around the seasonal baseline with limited volatility expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others project a minimum temperature of approximately 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects typical early-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure, with light northwesterly winds, low humidity overnight, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with historical averages of 24–26°C lows. Nearby values (27°C at 25%, 22–25°C clustered around 24–25%) capture model uncertainty ranges, while the 31°C+ bin at 27.5% likely prices in upside variance or measurement timing. No significant synoptic shifts, such as coastal cooling or heat advection, appear in recent updates, supporting trader consensus around the seasonal baseline with limited volatility expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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