Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 6. September?
8°C oder niedriger 48%
18°C oder höher 48%
11°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C oder niedriger
48%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
37%
12°C
36%
13°C
27%
14°C
15%
15°C
14%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
48%
8°C oder niedriger 48%
18°C oder höher 48%
11°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C oder niedriger
48%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
37%
12°C
36%
13°C
27%
14°C
15%
15°C
14%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a moderating westerly flow over Poland with partly cloudy skies and light showers possible overnight into September 6, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12°C in Warsaw. Recent surface observations indicate dew points near 10–12°C and sustained winds of 10–15 mph, which reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 10°C while also capping upside potential above 13°C under the current synoptic pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, with resolution hinging on exact cloud cover and any localized clearing that could enhance cooling before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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