Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Wuhan on September 17, driven by weak cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall and high humidity that suppressed daytime warming and promoted overnight cooling. Multiple model runs and station data converge on overnight lows near 18–19°C amid overcast skies and persistent precipitation, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time synoptic conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station variations or final official verification adjustments if a brief clearing allows slightly higher readings, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 17. September?
18°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$768 Vol.
$768 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
18°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$768 Vol.
$768 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Wuhan on September 17, driven by weak cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall and high humidity that suppressed daytime warming and promoted overnight cooling. Multiple model runs and station data converge on overnight lows near 18–19°C amid overcast skies and persistent precipitation, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time synoptic conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station variations or final official verification adjustments if a brief clearing allows slightly higher readings, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen