Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 20. September?
28°C oder höher 90%
18°C oder darunter 89%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
18°C oder darunter
89%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C oder höher
90%
28°C oder höher 90%
18°C oder darunter 89%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
18°C oder darunter
89%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C oder höher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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