Former two-term Maine Governor Paul LePage dominates the ME-02 Republican primary odds at 96.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his unmatched name recognition, fundraising dominance, and scant opposition just weeks before the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Recent NRCC polling from a week ago highlighted his strength heading into the general election matchup, while analyses describe the contest as effectively unopposed against army veteran James Clark, who entered late last year with minimal traction. LePage's path mirrors historical advantages for high-profile statewide incumbents in open-seat primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or a Clark surge fueled by grassroots momentum, though traders see slim barriers to his nomination.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$10,119 Vol.
$10,119 Vol.
9. Juni 2026
Paul LePage
97%
James Clark
2%
$10,119 Vol.
$10,119 Vol.
9. Juni 2026
Paul LePage
$6,778 Vol.
97%
James Clark
$3,341 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former two-term Maine Governor Paul LePage dominates the ME-02 Republican primary odds at 96.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his unmatched name recognition, fundraising dominance, and scant opposition just weeks before the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Recent NRCC polling from a week ago highlighted his strength heading into the general election matchup, while analyses describe the contest as effectively unopposed against army veteran James Clark, who entered late last year with minimal traction. LePage's path mirrors historical advantages for high-profile statewide incumbents in open-seat primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or a Clark surge fueled by grassroots momentum, though traders see slim barriers to his nomination.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET
Volumen
$10,119Enddatum
9. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former two-term Maine Governor Paul LePage dominates the ME-02 Republican primary odds at 96.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his unmatched name recognition, fundraising dominance, and scant opposition just weeks before the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Recent NRCC polling from a week ago highlighted his strength heading into the general election matchup, while analyses describe the contest as effectively unopposed against army veteran James Clark, who entered late last year with minimal traction. LePage's path mirrors historical advantages for high-profile statewide incumbents in open-seat primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or a Clark surge fueled by grassroots momentum, though traders see slim barriers to his nomination.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,119Enddatum
9. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former two-term Maine Governor Paul LePage dominates the ME-02 Republican primary odds at 96.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on his unmatched name recognition, fundraising dominance, and scant opposition just weeks before the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Recent NRCC polling from a week ago highlighted his strength heading into the general election matchup, while analyses describe the contest as effectively unopposed against army veteran James Clark, who entered late last year with minimal traction. LePage's path mirrors historical advantages for high-profile statewide incumbents in open-seat primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or a Clark surge fueled by grassroots momentum, though traders see slim barriers to his nomination.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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