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Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

icon for Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 26%

Édouard Philippe 19%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 9%

Polymarket

$105,507,192 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 26%

Édouard Philippe 19%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 9%

Polymarket

$105,507,192 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$1,182,915 Vol.

26%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$984,613 Vol.

19%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$795,448 Vol.

12%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$856,077 Vol.

9%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,681,852 Vol.

4%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,429,442 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,737,061 Vol.

3%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,257,150 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,199,560 Vol.

2%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,402,890 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,552,561 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,721,121 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,291,645 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,164,109 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$4,864,324 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,721,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,540,280 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,181,004 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,251,033 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$3,717,425 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$4,940,659 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,052,660 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,137,838 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,343,906 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,681,793 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$4,745,940 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,801,029 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$3,249,011 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,665,321 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$4,698,671 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,180,571 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,298,816 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,116,928 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,525,043 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$5,659,442 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$3,878,022 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls show Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leading first-round voting intentions near 30 percent ahead of the April 2027 contest, with Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon clustered behind, reflecting RN strength on immigration and security alongside a fragmented center and divided left. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban have shifted trader attention toward Bardella as the likely RN standard-bearer. Philippe’s positioning as a Macron-era successor faces headwinds from investigations and weak consolidation among centrist voters, while Mélenchon’s recent gains highlight left-wing mobilization. These crosscurrents, plus uncertainty over runoff pairings and coalition dynamics, keep probabilities closely matched among the top three and limit separation until clearer candidate fields and voter alignments emerge.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$105,507,192
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls show Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leading first-round voting intentions near 30 percent ahead of the April 2027 contest, with Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon clustered behind, reflecting RN strength on immigration and security alongside a fragmented center and divided left. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban have shifted trader attention toward Bardella as the likely RN standard-bearer. Philippe’s positioning as a Macron-era successor faces headwinds from investigations and weak consolidation among centrist voters, while Mélenchon’s recent gains highlight left-wing mobilization. These crosscurrents, plus uncertainty over runoff pairings and coalition dynamics, keep probabilities closely matched among the top three and limit separation until clearer candidate fields and voter alignments emerge.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$105,507,192
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next French Presidential Election" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 26%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 26¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next French Presidential Election" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $105.5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next French Presidential Election" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next French Presidential Election" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 26%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 26% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next French Presidential Election" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.