Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with official ONPE tallies after 98%+ of votes counted placing her margin near 0.1–0.3% out of roughly 18 million ballots. Traders have concentrated heavily on the 0.2–0.3% bracket because overseas and remaining urban precincts continue to favor Fujimori while rural areas lean Sánchez, producing the same sub-0.5% outcomes seen in multiple prior Peruvian runoffs. The slow review of contested stations and potential recounts introduce uncertainty, yet no major shift has emerged that would push the result outside the narrowest brackets. Late adjustments from the final districts or successful legal challenges remain the primary variables that could alter the precise margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPeru Wahl 2. Runde: Marge des Sieges? (0,1% Klammern)
Peru Wahl 2. Runde: Marge des Sieges? (0,1% Klammern)
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 95.6%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 % 3.2%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % 1.0%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 % <1%
$1,869,118 Vol.
$1,869,118 Vol.
Fujimori 1%+
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
3%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
96%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
1%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
<1%
Andere
<1%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 95.6%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 % 3.2%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % 1.0%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 % <1%
$1,869,118 Vol.
$1,869,118 Vol.
Fujimori 1%+
$60,176 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
$32,568 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
$31,635 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
$30,751 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
$39,177 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
$80,985 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
$176,104 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
$266,387 Vol.
3%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
$147,236 Vol.
96%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
$218,245 Vol.
1%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
$238,055 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
$174,768 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
$134,443 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
$51,086 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
$36,198 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
$34,140 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
$28,110 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
$22,146 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
$15,485 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
$8,706 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
$7,727 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
$8,872 Vol.
<1%
Andere
$27,343 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with official ONPE tallies after 98%+ of votes counted placing her margin near 0.1–0.3% out of roughly 18 million ballots. Traders have concentrated heavily on the 0.2–0.3% bracket because overseas and remaining urban precincts continue to favor Fujimori while rural areas lean Sánchez, producing the same sub-0.5% outcomes seen in multiple prior Peruvian runoffs. The slow review of contested stations and potential recounts introduce uncertainty, yet no major shift has emerged that would push the result outside the narrowest brackets. Late adjustments from the final districts or successful legal challenges remain the primary variables that could alter the precise margin.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volumen
$1,869,118Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with official ONPE tallies after 98%+ of votes counted placing her margin near 0.1–0.3% out of roughly 18 million ballots. Traders have concentrated heavily on the 0.2–0.3% bracket because overseas and remaining urban precincts continue to favor Fujimori while rural areas lean Sánchez, producing the same sub-0.5% outcomes seen in multiple prior Peruvian runoffs. The slow review of contested stations and potential recounts introduce uncertainty, yet no major shift has emerged that would push the result outside the narrowest brackets. Late adjustments from the final districts or successful legal challenges remain the primary variables that could alter the precise margin.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$1,869,118Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a razor-thin lead over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with official ONPE tallies after 98%+ of votes counted placing her margin near 0.1–0.3% out of roughly 18 million ballots. Traders have concentrated heavily on the 0.2–0.3% bracket because overseas and remaining urban precincts continue to favor Fujimori while rural areas lean Sánchez, producing the same sub-0.5% outcomes seen in multiple prior Peruvian runoffs. The slow review of contested stations and potential recounts introduce uncertainty, yet no major shift has emerged that would push the result outside the narrowest brackets. Late adjustments from the final districts or successful legal challenges remain the primary variables that could alter the precise margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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