Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Treviño Jr. in the May 2026 primary runoff, taking 55% of the vote to Treviño's 45%. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, this positions Guerra as the strong favorite against Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Guerra a commanding implied probability, driven by the county's consistent partisan patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the race dynamics. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking controversies, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization ahead of the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
94%
Mauro Garza
5%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
$5,473 Vol.
94%
Mauro Garza
$417 Vol.
5%
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Treviño Jr. in the May 2026 primary runoff, taking 55% of the vote to Treviño's 45%. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, this positions Guerra as the strong favorite against Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Guerra a commanding implied probability, driven by the county's consistent partisan patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the race dynamics. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking controversies, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization ahead of the general election.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volumen
$5,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Treviño Jr. in the May 2026 primary runoff, taking 55% of the vote to Treviño's 45%. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, this positions Guerra as the strong favorite against Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Guerra a commanding implied probability, driven by the county's consistent partisan patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the race dynamics. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking controversies, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization ahead of the general election.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Volumen
$5,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Treviño Jr. in the May 2026 primary runoff, taking 55% of the vote to Treviño's 45%. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, this positions Guerra as the strong favorite against Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Guerra a commanding implied probability, driven by the county's consistent partisan patterns and the absence of major post-primary developments that would alter the race dynamics. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Republican turnout, late-breaking controversies, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization ahead of the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen