Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNYC Mayor # posts 15. Mai - 22. Mai 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts 15. Mai - 22. Mai 2026?
20-39 94.7%
<20 7%
40-59 6.4%
60-79 <1%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<20
7%
20-39
95%
40-59
6%
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160–179
<1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
20-39 94.7%
<20 7%
40-59 6.4%
60-79 <1%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<20
$61 Vol.
7%
20-39
$69 Vol.
95%
40-59
$102 Vol.
6%
60-79
$93 Vol.
1%
80-99
$196 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$134 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$169 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$181 Vol.
<1%
160–179
$153 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$242 Vol.
1%
200+
$438 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,836Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,836Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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