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Geopolitik·Iran

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Geopolitik·Iran

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Mai 31

Juni 30

Dez. 31

Mai 31

Juni 30

Dez. 31

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$664,525 Vol.

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$664,525 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through May 31 reflects his ongoing leadership of the Department amid active congressional oversight and policy implementation. Recent bipartisan hearings on the Iran conflict and the administration's $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget proposal have positioned him as a central figure advancing executive priorities without disruption. Internal Pentagon personnel adjustments, including senior officer changes, have occurred under his direction, yet no official statements, confirmation hearings, or public indications point to an imminent departure. With the short timeline remaining, only unforeseen events such as sudden executive action, major scandals, or health-related developments could alter the current trajectory before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$664,525
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through May 31 reflects his ongoing leadership of the Department amid active congressional oversight and policy implementation. Recent bipartisan hearings on the Iran conflict and the administration's $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget proposal have positioned him as a central figure advancing executive priorities without disruption. Internal Pentagon personnel adjustments, including senior officer changes, have occurred under his direction, yet no official statements, confirmation hearings, or public indications point to an imminent departure. With the short timeline remaining, only unforeseen events such as sudden executive action, major scandals, or health-related developments could alter the current trajectory before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$664,525
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 1% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 1¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 1%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $664.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" liegt bei 1% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 1% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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