Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her party’s nomination. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and Fleischmann’s prior general-election margins exceeding 30 points. The redrawn map and absence of credible GOP challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-03 Wahlsieger
TN-03 Wahlsieger
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$20,729 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$16,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her party’s nomination. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and Fleischmann’s prior general-election margins exceeding 30 points. The redrawn map and absence of credible GOP challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$37,271Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her party’s nomination. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and Fleischmann’s prior general-election margins exceeding 30 points. The redrawn map and absence of credible GOP challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,271Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her party’s nomination. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+18 partisan lean and Fleischmann’s prior general-election margins exceeding 30 points. The redrawn map and absence of credible GOP challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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