United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established dominance in regional contests, control of single-member districts, and the recent court disqualification of Yabloko’s party list on September 11. Historical results in comparable Russian regional votes show the party routinely securing majorities through proportional representation and direct seats, with limited effective competition from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, or New People. Traders price in these structural factors and the compressed timeline before voting, viewing any upset as requiring improbable late shifts in turnout or candidate viability across both electoral components.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUnited Russia 98.0%
CPRF 1.1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,157 Vol.
$10,157 Vol.

United Russia
98%

CPRF
1%

LDPR
1%

A Just Russia
<1%

New People
<1%
United Russia 98.0%
CPRF 1.1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,157 Vol.
$10,157 Vol.

United Russia
98%

CPRF
1%

LDPR
1%

A Just Russia
<1%

New People
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established dominance in regional contests, control of single-member districts, and the recent court disqualification of Yabloko’s party list on September 11. Historical results in comparable Russian regional votes show the party routinely securing majorities through proportional representation and direct seats, with limited effective competition from CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, or New People. Traders price in these structural factors and the compressed timeline before voting, viewing any upset as requiring improbable late shifts in turnout or candidate viability across both electoral components.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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