Recent polls following the September 8 candidate list deadline show Israel's October 27 Knesset election remaining fragmented under proportional representation, where parties must exceed the 3.25% threshold for seats in the 120-member parliament. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (anchored by Likud alongside Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Shas, and UTJ) nor the opposition bloc (led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu) consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) holding the balance in many surveys. Smaller parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel–Zelekha alliance hover near or below the threshold, creating volatility in bloc totals. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the government amid ongoing security and economic pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Nov. 2026
Ra'am
81%
RZP-Zehut
77%
Reservisten und Neue Wirtschaftspartei
49%
Amcha Yisrael
45%
Blau & Weiß
34%
$15 Vol.
Ra'am
$0 Vol.
81%
RZP-Zehut
$0 Vol.
77%
Reservisten und Neue Wirtschaftspartei
$0 Vol.
49%
Amcha Yisrael
$0 Vol.
45%
Blau & Weiß
$15 Vol.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 candidate list deadline show Israel's October 27 Knesset election remaining fragmented under proportional representation, where parties must exceed the 3.25% threshold for seats in the 120-member parliament. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (anchored by Likud alongside Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Shas, and UTJ) nor the opposition bloc (led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu) consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) holding the balance in many surveys. Smaller parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel–Zelekha alliance hover near or below the threshold, creating volatility in bloc totals. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the government amid ongoing security and economic pressures.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$15Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 candidate list deadline show Israel's October 27 Knesset election remaining fragmented under proportional representation, where parties must exceed the 3.25% threshold for seats in the 120-member parliament. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (anchored by Likud alongside Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Shas, and UTJ) nor the opposition bloc (led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu) consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) holding the balance in many surveys. Smaller parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel–Zelekha alliance hover near or below the threshold, creating volatility in bloc totals. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the government amid ongoing security and economic pressures.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$15Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Recent polls following the September 8 candidate list deadline show Israel's October 27 Knesset election remaining fragmented under proportional representation, where parties must exceed the 3.25% threshold for seats in the 120-member parliament. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc (anchored by Likud alongside Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, Shas, and UTJ) nor the opposition bloc (led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu) consistently reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Arab lists (Joint List and Ra’am) holding the balance in many surveys. Smaller parties such as Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel–Zelekha alliance hover near or below the threshold, creating volatility in bloc totals. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the government amid ongoing security and economic pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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