President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$110,341 Vol.
$110,341 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$110,341 Vol.
$110,341 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
Volumen
$110,341Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$110,341Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
President Donald Trump's prior threats to remove Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair centered on policy disputes over interest rates, yet Powell completed his term on May 15 without any firing attempt, enabling a Senate-confirmed transition to successor Kevin Warsh. This outcome reflects institutional norms protecting central bank independence, legal limits on presidential removal authority absent cause, and Powell's voluntary departure amid an ongoing but non-disruptive board transition. Traders assign near-certain odds to no attempt because scheduled events aligned without escalation. Rare late developments, such as abrupt health changes or unconfirmed legal reversals, remain the only plausible variables that could alter this positioning before full resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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